Description

This analysis provides a forecast of MATIC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-11-17 00:00:00+00:00 0.255284 0.300200 0.347950 0.402217 0.461908 0.525301 0.597453
2024-11-24 00:00:00+00:00 0.197500 0.258803 0.328456 0.412355 0.509589 0.617710 0.745999
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 0.149434 0.218661 0.302635 0.409390 0.538946 0.688700 0.872484
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 0.109264 0.180166 0.272246 0.395687 0.552113 0.739359 0.976025
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 0.087538 0.161162 0.262758 0.405186 0.592082 0.821985 1.119139
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 0.065543 0.137030 0.242547 0.397606 0.608396 0.874738 1.226461
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 0.055437 0.128717 0.242821 0.416583 0.658982 0.971168 1.389662
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 0.043216 0.114003 0.231348 0.417326 0.684150 1.034829 1.512343
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 0.033716 0.101623 0.221476 0.418805 0.709354 1.098281 1.635305
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 0.027687 0.094323 0.218609 0.429914 0.747732 1.179481 1.782258
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 0.023308 0.089261 0.218668 0.445019 0.791776 1.268776 1.940939
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.019622 0.084673 0.218822 0.459864 0.835465 1.358093 2.100765
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.014248 0.074024 0.206699 0.454348 0.849428 1.407786 2.210240
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.011006 0.067767 0.201992 0.460522 0.880816 1.482147 2.354008
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.007599 0.058990 0.190759 0.454443 0.892820 1.529084 2.461028
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.004558 0.048837 0.174603 0.438039 0.887513 1.550614 2.533032
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.003375 0.045376 0.172774 0.447168 0.922615 1.630755 2.686867
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.001953 0.038681 0.161925 0.438447 0.928265 1.667696 2.780721
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.001577 0.038001 0.165983 0.458319 0.981074 1.774742 2.974064
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 0.000936 0.033939 0.160416 0.458878 1.001699 1.834200 3.100844
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 0.000518 0.030424 0.155555 0.460314 1.023552 1.895578 3.230829
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 0.000325 0.028806 0.155813 0.472063 1.063026 1.983893 3.400016
2025-04-20 00:00:00+00:00 0.000215 0.027931 0.158131 0.488090 1.110044 2.084087 3.587003